Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smitshoek vs Achilles Veen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Silva Timas I.

AI Match Summary

Smitshoek in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Smitshoek
15%
Draws
42%
Achilles Veen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smitshoek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Smitshoek haven't matched Achilles Veen's recent run of results.
  • Achilles Veen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Achilles Veen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Smitshoek, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%
Achilles Veen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek Achilles Veen
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Derde Divisie
Achilles Veen vs Smitshoek
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Achilles Veen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Timas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Achilles Veen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 26 / 100
Achilles Veen 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek Achilles Veen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achilles Veen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Achilles Veen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Away concern: Achilles Veen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Smitshoek VS Achilles Veen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 7

Achilles Veen

(Away)
22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0
Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 0
Achilles Veen
01 Sept
Achilles Veen
4 : 2
SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3