Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Urban N.
27'
27'
Bos L.
46'
46'
de Kruijs L.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Smitshoek and Lisse finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lisse come out ahead of Smitshoek on wins alone.
- Model gives Lisse a 68% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lisse have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 17%
Lisse Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smitshoek | Lisse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Lisse
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Smitshoek
2:1
Sep 3, 2024 KNVB Beker
Smitshoek vs Lisse
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Urban N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Lisse Compare
Top Goalscorer de Kruijs L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakker D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smitshoek 10 / 100
Lisse 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smitshoek Lisse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smitshoek's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Lisse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Smitshoek remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lisse
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Smitshoek
(Home) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
19 Apr
Smitshoek
1 : 2 TOGB
05 Apr
Smitshoek
0 : 2 SteDoCo
15 Mar
Smitshoek
0 : 2 Meerssen
Page 1 of 3
Lisse
(Away) 12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1 Lisse
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1 Lisse
27 May
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0 Lisse
23 May
SVV Scheveningen
1 : 3 Lisse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
