Sport Picks
Match Events
79'
79'
Poper B.
86'
86'
Poper B.
AI Match Summary
Meerssen in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Meerssen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meerssen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Meerssen lately — more wins on the board than Smitshoek.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Meerssen taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 20%
Meerssen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smitshoek | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Meerssen
0:2
Oct 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs Smitshoek
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smitshoek Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Meerssen Compare
Top Goalscorer Poper B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smitshoek 10 / 100
Meerssen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smitshoek Meerssen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Meerssen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Meerssen let in goals in 87% of their last 38 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Smitshoek has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Meerssen
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Smitshoek
(Home) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
19 Apr
Smitshoek
1 : 2 TOGB
05 Apr
Smitshoek
0 : 2 SteDoCo
15 Mar
Smitshoek
0 : 2 Meerssen
Page 1 of 3
Meerssen
(Away) 07 Jul
Meerssen
2 : 1 Maastricht
23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
16 May
Meerssen
1 : 1 Rijnvogels
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
25 Apr
Meerssen
0 : 2 VVSB
Page 1 of 8
23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
19 Apr
Gemert
4 : 1 Meerssen
12 Apr
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 3 Meerssen
22 Mar
Blauw Geel
2 : 3 Meerssen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
