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Smoras vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 7 2014 game between Smoras and Bjarg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smoras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Smoras
15%
Draws
59%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjarg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bjarg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Smoras Clean Sheet 17%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smoras Bjarg
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 27
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.17 2.43
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Smoras vs Bjarg
4:2
Apr 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 7
Bjarg vs Smoras
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smoras 12 / 100
Bjarg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smoras Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Smoras scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bjarg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 42 matches.

Solid form: Smoras remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bjarg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smoras

(Home)
01 Apr
Sund
4 : 1
Smoras
13 Feb
Smoras
1 : 4
Mathopen IL
25 Oct
OS TF
1 : 2
Smoras
18 Oct
Smoras
2 : 3
Froya
11 Oct
Oystese
4 : 3
Smoras
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Bjarg

(Away)
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
16 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Bjarg
08 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 3
Sotra
01 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 3
Bjarg
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
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