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Smorgon vs SKA-1938 Minsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Smorgon
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Khalimonchikov D.
39'
Knyshev N.
46'
Sub
Knyshev N. In: Konyakhin A.
Out: Knyshev N.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Smorgon and SKA-1938 Minsk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA-1938 Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Smorgon
15%
Draws
46%
SKA-1938 Minsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SKA-1938 Minsk come out ahead of Smorgon on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 20%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon SKA-1938 Minsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
0:2
May 16, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs SKA-1938 Minsk
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
1:1
Oct 27, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Smorgon
2:4
Jun 3, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chul D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 32 / 100
SKA-1938 Minsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon SKA-1938 Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smorgon scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

SKA-1938 Minsk let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Smorgon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS SKA-1938 Minsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 6

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)