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Smorgon vs Slutsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Smorgon
Smorgon Logo

Smorgon

1 - 1
FT
Slutsk Logo

Slutsk

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Autko M.
36' Event
Nsangou J.
Assist: Kovalevich V.
60'
Tishko A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Smorgon
20%
Draws
45%
Slutsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slutsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slutsk lately — more wins on the board than Smorgon.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 18%
Slutsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon Slutsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Slutsk
1:1
May 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Slutsk vs Smorgon
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Slutsk
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slutsk vs Smorgon
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Slutsk vs Smorgon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsangou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Slutsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kotlyarov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 32 / 100
Slutsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon Slutsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slutsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smorgon scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Slutsk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Smorgon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS Slutsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 6

Slutsk

(Away)
03 Oct
Molodechno
1 : 4
Slutsk
26 Sept
Slutsk
4 : 3
FC Gomel 2
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0
Volna Pinsk
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)