Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon W vs Naftan W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Yunost Stadium, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Vinnikova S.
41'
Sub
Vashkevich P. In: Udot K.
Out: Vashkevich P.
58'
Sub
Mikhan D. In: Mikheenko A.
Out: Mikhan D.

AI Match Summary

Naftan W in this Vysshaya Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naftan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Smorgon W
15%
Draws
68%
Naftan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naftan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naftan W lately — more wins on the board than Smorgon W.
  • Naftan W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.4%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Naftan W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 1
Losses 28 13
Goals Scored 0.1 2.1
Goals Conceded 6.7 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Naftan W
0:1
May 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Smorgon W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Naftan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlasova V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Naftan W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Naftan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naftan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Smorgon W scored in 10% of their last 30 outings.

Naftan W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Smorgon W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon W VS Naftan W
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon W

(Home)
27 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk W
3 : 0
Smorgon W
18 Sept
Smorgon W
0 : 2
Belarus U19 W
11 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
7 : 0
Smorgon W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
22 Aug
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 1
Smorgon W
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Naftan W

(Away)
27 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
4 : 2
Naftan W
19 Sept
Naftan W
2 : 1
Belshina W
12 Sept
Naftan W
6 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
23 Aug
Naftan W
3 : 2
FC Gomel W
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