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Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2024 Yunost Stadium, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mikhan D.
20' Event
Belous M.
27' Event
Yakushevich A.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk W in this Vysshaya Liga Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-14 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Smorgon W
20%
Draws
50%
Vitebsk W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitebsk W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk W have won more games recently than Smorgon W.
  • Vitebsk W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Vitebsk W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Vitebsk W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Vitebsk W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 18
Draws 1 3
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 0.1 2.58
Goals Conceded 6.7 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
0:5
Nov 2, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
0:14
Aug 4, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Vitebsk W vs Smorgon W
12:0
May 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
0:10
Nov 4, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Vitebsk W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vitebsk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhan D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yakushevich A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Vitebsk W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Vitebsk W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Smorgon W scored in 10% of their last 30 outings.

Vitebsk W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Smorgon W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon W VS Vitebsk W
0.25 Goals Scored 3
4 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon W

(Home)
27 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk W
3 : 0
Smorgon W
18 Sept
Smorgon W
0 : 2
Belarus U19 W
11 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
7 : 0
Smorgon W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
22 Aug
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 1
Smorgon W
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Vitebsk W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitebsk W
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest W
13 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk W
0 : 0
Vitebsk W
28 Aug
Vitebsk W
2 : 1
Belarus U19 W
23 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev W
3 : 1
Vitebsk W
09 Aug
Vitebsk W
0 : 3
Naftan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minsk FK W 30 27 2 1 193:6 83
2 Din. Minsk W 30 27 2 1 205:11 83
3 SKA-1938 Minsk W 30 23 2 5 156:18 71
4 Vitebsk W 30 17 2 11 100:41 53
5 Belarus U19 W 30 16 4 10 104:43 52
6 Dnepr Mogilev W 30 15 2 13 107:61 47
7 Dynamo Brest W 30 12 1 17 67:58 37
8 Bobruichanka W 30 9 3 18 43:101 30
9 FC Gomel W 30 5 1 24 16:169 16
10 Dyussh-Polesgu W 30 3 0 27 16:244 9
11 Smorgon W 30 1 1 28 7:262 4
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)