Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smouha vs Al Qanah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Tue, Jan 19, 2027
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Al Qanah have shipped 0.7 goals a game lately, while Smouha have conceded 1.04 and scored 0.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.63 - 1.13) back Al Qanah to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Smouha
35%
Draws
28%
Al Qanah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Smouha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Qanah come out ahead of Smouha on wins alone.
  • Smouha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Al Qanah arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Smouha Clean Sheet 20%
Al Qanah Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Al Qanah
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 42 / 100
Al Qanah 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Al Qanah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smouha's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Qanah has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Smouha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Al Qanah's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Al Qanah
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

Al Qanah

(Away)
11 Oct
Al Qanah
1 : 1
Al Masry
07 Oct
Pyramids
3 : 2
Al Qanah
17 Sept
ZED FC
2 : 1
Al Qanah
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
Al Qanah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)