Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Awujoola S.
19'
Sub
El Sisi A. In: Amer A.
Out: El Sisi A.
35'
Mohamed I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Smouha and Ceramica Cleopatra finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceramica Cleopatra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Smouha
15%
Draws
64%
Ceramica Cleopatra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceramica Cleopatra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Smouha haven't matched Ceramica Cleopatra's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ceramica Cleopatra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Smouha Clean Sheet 19%
Ceramica Cleopatra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Ceramica Cleopatra
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smouha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Ceramica Cleopatra Compare

Top Goalscorer Awujoola S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 10 / 100
Ceramica Cleopatra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Ceramica Cleopatra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceramica Cleopatra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ceramica Cleopatra conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Smouha's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Smouha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Ceramica Cleopatra
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

Ceramica Cleopatra

(Away)
14 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
23 Aug
Ceramica Cleopatra
1 : 2
Al Qanah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 7:4 56
2 Pyramids 6 3 2 1 10:6 54
3 Al Ahly 6 4 1 1 11:5 53
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 3 2 5:5 44
5 Al Masry 6 2 2 2 6:9 40
6 Enppi 6 1 3 2 7:9 36
7 Smouha 6 0 0 6 2:10 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)