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Smouha vs El Minya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Egypt Cup Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smouha in this Egypt Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Smouha
30%
Draws
31%
El Minya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smouha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Minya lately — more wins on the board than Smouha.
  • Model gives Smouha a 39% chance of winning this.
  • El Minya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Smouha Clean Sheet 20%
El Minya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha El Minya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 40 / 100
El Minya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha El Minya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smouha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Smouha remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Smouha scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

El Minya has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: El Minya has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS El Minya
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
03 Nov
Smouha
0 : 1
Pyramids
31 Oct
Petrojet
1 : 1
Smouha
19 Oct
El Gouna
0 : 2
Smouha
12 Oct
Smouha
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
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El Minya

(Away)
09 Jul
El Minya
4 : 5
WE Sports Club
25 Jun
Proxy
2 : 2
El Minya
15 Jun
El Minya
2 : 1
Kima Aswan
08 Jun
Dayrout
2 : 2
El Minya
01 Jun
El Minya
1 : 0
Al Aluminium (Hammadi)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pyramids -
El Daklyeh -
National Bank Egypt 4
Bur Fouad 1
Al Masry -
Misr Lel Makkasa -
El Gaish -
Asyut Petroleum -
ZED FC -
Samanod -
Smouha 1
El Minya 0
Wadi Degla -
Kahrabaa Ismailia -
Ceramica Cleopatra -
Abu Qir Semad -
Zamalek -
Misr Insurance -
Enppi -
Proxy -
El Gouna 4
Ittihad El-Shorta 1
Ghazl El Mahallah 1
Al Ittihad Alexandria 2
Al Ahly -
Al Sekka -
Petrojet -
Delphi SC -
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) -
WE Sports Club -
Modern Sport -
Al Qanah -
1/8-finals
TBD -
National Bank Egypt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Gouna -
Al Ittihad Alexandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -