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Smouha vs Kahrabaa Ismailia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup 2025/2026 Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sulieman A.
Assist: Ashraf K.
29' Event
El Ghandour K.
Assist: Fekri S.
46'
Sub
Mohamed K. In: Fawzi A.
Out: Mohamed K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Smouha
20%
Draws
61%
Kahrabaa Ismailia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kahrabaa Ismailia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kahrabaa Ismailia lately — more wins on the board than Smouha.
  • Model gives Kahrabaa Ismailia a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Kahrabaa Ismailia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Smouha Clean Sheet 21%
Kahrabaa Ismailia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Kahrabaa Ismailia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 League Cup
Smouha vs Kahrabaa Ismailia
2:2
Aug 26, 2025 Premier League
Kahrabaa Ismailia vs Smouha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smouha Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ghandour K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fekri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Kahrabaa Ismailia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulieman A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 10 / 100
Kahrabaa Ismailia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Kahrabaa Ismailia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahrabaa Ismailia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Kahrabaa Ismailia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Smouha scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Smouha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Kahrabaa Ismailia
0.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 1
29% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

Kahrabaa Ismailia

(Away)
08 Oct
Tersana
2 : 2
Kahrabaa Ismailia
02 Oct
Kahrabaa Ismailia
2 : 0
Delta United
24 Sept
Kahrabaa Ismailia
3 : 1
Pharco FC
18 Sept
Baladiyat El Mahalla
0 : 1
Kahrabaa Ismailia
10 Sept
Kahrabaa Ismailia
3 : 0
El Daklyeh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Gaish 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Enppi 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Pharco FC 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
5 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
6 Al Ahly 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
7 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrojet 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 El Gouna 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Wadi Degla 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
4 National Bank Egypt 6 1 4 1 11:7 7
5 El Ismaily 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
6 Modern Sport 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
7 Pyramids 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
2 ZED FC 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
3 Al Ittihad Alexandria 6 1 5 0 5:2 8
4 Kahrabaa Ismailia 6 1 5 0 12:11 8
5 Smouha 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
6 Zamalek 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
7 Haras El Hodood 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
Promotion - League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams