Sport Picks
Smouha vs Modern Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Egypt
Premier League 2025/2026 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sabry M.
22'
22'
Badji P.
36'
36'
Amadi S.
Assist: El Sisi A.
AI Match Summary
Smouha in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smouha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modern Sport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Smouha lately — more wins on the board than Modern Sport.
- Modern Sport are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Smouha Clean Sheet 26%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smouha | Modern Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Modern Sport
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Cup
Modern Sport vs Smouha
2:0
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Smouha
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Modern Sport
1:0
Jul 22, 2024 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Smouha
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smouha Compare
Top Goalscorer Badji P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Amadi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Modern Sport Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smouha 17 / 100
Modern Sport 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smouha Modern Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Modern Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Smouha scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Modern Sport has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Smouha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Smouha VS Modern Sport
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Smouha
(Home) 14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1 Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2 Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0 Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0 Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0 Smouha
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2 Ceramica Cleopatra
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0 Asyut Petroleum
05 May
Smouha
0 : 1 Zamalek
27 Apr
Smouha
0 : 1 Al Masry
22 Apr
Smouha
0 : 2 Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 3
Modern Sport
(Away) 08 Oct
Modern Sport
2 : 0 National Bank Egypt
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2 Modern Sport
09 Sept
Modern Sport
2 : 1 Wadi Degla
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0 Modern Sport
27 Aug
Modern Sport
2 : 0 Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2 Modern Sport
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0 Modern Sport
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1 Modern Sport
29 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
3 : 1 Modern Sport
17 May
Petrojet
1 : 1 Modern Sport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamalek | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 32:13 | 43 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 33:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29:16 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 29:20 | 32 |
| 6 | Smouha | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 21:13 | 31 |
| 7 | Enppi | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 30 |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23:20 | 29 |
| 9 | ZED FC | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:16 | 29 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 18:14 | 26 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 21:23 | 25 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18:24 | 23 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 14:24 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 15:24 | 20 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 20 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 12:15 | 19 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 13:21 | 18 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15:29 | 17 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:37 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco FC | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8:22 | 15 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11:28 | 11 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
