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Smouha vs Zamalek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Smouha Logo

Smouha

0 - 1
FT
Zamalek Logo

Zamalek

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fatouh A. In: Banza C.
Out: Fatouh A.
46'
Sub
Hassan M. I. In: Attia M.
Out: Hassan M. I.
46'
Sub
Mansy N. In: Juan Alvina
Out: Mansy N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Smouha and Zamalek finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zamalek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Smouha
15%
Draws
64%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Smouha haven't matched Zamalek's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zamalek's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zamalek have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Smouha Clean Sheet 21%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Zamalek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Zamalek
0:1
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Smouha
1:0
Dec 25, 2025 League Cup
Zamalek vs Smouha
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 League Cup
Smouha vs Zamalek
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Egypt Cup
Zamalek vs Smouha
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smouha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Zamalek Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabbagh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 20 / 100
Zamalek 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Smouha scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Zamalek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Smouha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Zamalek
0.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
29% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

Zamalek

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 3
ZED FC
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 7:4 56
2 Pyramids 6 3 2 1 10:6 54
3 Al Ahly 6 4 1 1 11:5 53
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 3 2 5:5 44
5 Al Masry 6 2 2 2 6:9 40
6 Enppi 6 1 3 2 7:9 36
7 Smouha 6 0 0 6 2:10 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)