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SNIM vs Chemal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
SNIM Logo

SNIM

2 - 1
FT
Chemal Logo

Chemal

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gaye B.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Bilal A.
81' Event
Henoune Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SNIM in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SNIM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SNIM
20%
Draws
57%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemal lately — more wins on the board than SNIM.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SNIM Clean Sheet 15%
Chemal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SNIM Chemal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Chemal
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs SNIM
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Chemal
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs SNIM
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Chemal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SNIM Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Henoune Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SNIM 31 / 100
Chemal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SNIM Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SNIM scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Chemal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

SNIM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SNIM VS Chemal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SNIM

(Home)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)