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Sobec Lesce vs Izola Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Izola in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Izola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Sobec Lesce
15%
Draws
80%
Izola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Izola have won more games recently than Sobec Lesce.
  • Win probability leans Izola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Izola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 10%
Izola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Izola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Sobec Lesce
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
0:2
May 3, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Sobec Lesce
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 10 / 100
Izola 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Izola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Izola conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sobec Lesce scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Sobec Lesce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Izola
1.25 Goals Scored 4.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
03 Oct
Dob
3 : 0
Sobec Lesce
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
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Izola

(Away)
03 Oct
Ziri
1 : 2
Izola
27 Sept
Izola
6 : 0
Skofja Loka
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)