Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sobec Lesce in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobec Lesce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sobec Lesce
20%
Draws
73%
Zidgrad Idrija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sobec Lesce haven't matched Zidgrad Idrija's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zidgrad Idrija's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sobec Lesce here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 16%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sobec Lesce
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 15 / 100
Zidgrad Idrija 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Sobec Lesce scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Zidgrad Idrija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sobec Lesce stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Zidgrad Idrija
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

Zidgrad Idrija

(Away)
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)