Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sobec Lesce in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobec Lesce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sobec Lesce
30%
Draws
34%
Zidgrad Idrija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sobec Lesce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Zidgrad Idrija haven't matched Sobec Lesce's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sobec Lesce's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 20%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sobec Lesce
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 36 / 100
Zidgrad Idrija 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zidgrad Idrija has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sobec Lesce scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sobec Lesce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Zidgrad Idrija
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
23 May
Sobec Lesce
4 : 1
IB 1975 Ljubljana
17 May
Izola
2 : 1
Sobec Lesce
09 May
Sobec Lesce
1 : 5
Vrhnika
02 May
Dob
1 : 2
Sobec Lesce
25 Apr
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
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Zidgrad Idrija

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
17 May
Zidgrad Idrija
0 : 0
Ziri
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 0
Fama Vipava
25 Apr
Zidgrad Idrija
0 : 1
Skofja Loka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)