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Sobou vs Marist

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Oceania Club Championship 2006
Sobou Logo

Sobou

1 - 7
FT
Marist Logo

Marist

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marist in this Oceania Club Championship 2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sobou
20%
Draws
80%
Marist
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marist lately — more wins on the board than Sobou.
  • Win probability leans Marist's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sobou Clean Sheet 10%
Marist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobou Marist
Matches Played 8 22
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 5.13 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 3.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2005 OFC Champions League
Sobou vs Marist
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobou 10 / 100
Marist 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobou Marist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marist Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marist conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sobou scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Marist lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobou VS Marist
0 Goals Scored 0.88
7 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobou

(Home)
14 May
Pirae
7 : 0
Sobou
10 May
Auckland City
7 : 0
Sobou
05 Jun
Auckland City
6 : 1
Sobou
02 Jun
Sobou
2 : 9
Sydney FC
31 May
Sobou
1 : 5
Pirae
Page 1 of 2

Marist

(Away)
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1
Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1
Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3
Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1
Magenta
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Pirae 3 2 0 1 17:2 6
3 Marist 3 1 0 2 9:14 3
4 Sobou 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - Oceania Club Championship 2006 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Oceania Club Championship 2006 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manawatu 3 1 2 0 8:5 5
2 Nokia Eagles 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Tafea 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
4 Magenta 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Oceania Club Championship 2006 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Oceania Club Championship 2006 (Play Offs)