Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capital DF U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Capital DF U20 have won more games recently than Sobradinho U20.
- Capital DF U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Capital DF U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Capital DF U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Capital DF U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sobradinho U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sobradinho U20 | Capital DF U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 24 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.48 | 3.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Sobradinho U20
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Sobradinho U20 vs Capital DF U20
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Sobradinho U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sobradinho U20 10 / 100
Capital DF U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sobradinho U20 Capital DF U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sobradinho U20 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Capital DF U20 has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sobradinho U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sobradinho U20 VS Capital DF U20
3.88 Goals Scored 5.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Sobradinho U20
(Home) 08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0 Sobradinho U20
29 Aug
Brasiliense U20
2 : 1 Sobradinho U20
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0 Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0 Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Canaa U20
0 : 2 Sobradinho U20
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15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0 Capital DF U20
01 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 2 Canaa U20
11 Jul
Sobradinho U20
1 : 1 Legiao U20
01 Jul
Sobradinho U20
3 : 1 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20
27 Jun
Sobradinho U20
8 : 0 ARUC U20
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Capital DF U20
(Away) 23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0 Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0 Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0 Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1 Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2 Gama U20
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15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0 Capital DF U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1 Capital DF U20
19 Jul
ARUC U20
0 : 13 Capital DF U20
04 Jul
Brasiliense U20
4 : 2 Capital DF U20
01 Jul
Legiao U20
0 : 2 Capital DF U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Brasiliense U20 12
Santa Maria U20 1
Real Brasilia U20 1
Samambaia U20 0
Capital DF U20 6
Planaltina U20 1
Canaa U20 2
Sobradinho U20 3
Semi-finals
Brasiliense U20 6
Real Brasilia U20 3
Capital DF U20 1
Sobradinho U20 1
Final
Brasiliense U20 2
Sobradinho U20 1
