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Sobradinho vs Ceilandense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 game between Sobradinho and Ceilandense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sobradinho
20%
Draws
29%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobradinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sobradinho's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sobradinho here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Ceilandense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.94 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.66 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
1:3
Mar 8, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
0:3
Mar 25, 2015 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Ceilandense
3:0
Feb 12, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
0:4
Feb 16, 2013 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Ceilandense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 67 / 100
Ceilandense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sobradinho scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Ceilandense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sobradinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Ceilandense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
2 Sobradinho 6 2 1 3 13:14 7
3 Luziania 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Unai EC 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
5 Legiao 6 0 4 2 5:8 4
6 Botafogo DF 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasilia FC (DF) 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Gama 6 3 3 0 12:7 12
3 Ceilandia 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
4 Capital 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ceilandense 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
6 Brazlandia 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)