Sport Picks

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Sobradinho vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Pipico
90' Event
Thiaguinho

AI Match Summary

Sobradinho in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sobradinho
35%
Draws
19%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sobradinho lately — more wins on the board than Legiao.
  • Sobradinho are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sobradinho have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Legiao
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 22 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Sobradinho vs Legiao
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Sobradinho vs Legiao
1:1
Feb 23, 2014 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
5:1
Mar 30, 2013 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Legiao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobradinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiaguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Legiao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 58 / 100
Legiao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sobradinho's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Defensive concern: Legiao conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sobradinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Legiao
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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Legiao

(Away)
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)