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Sochaux vs Boulogne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sochaux host Boulogne in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Boulogne have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Sochaux have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Sochaux slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.75) point toward Sochaux. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sochaux
35%
Draws
16%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sochaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sochaux have won more games recently than Boulogne.
  • Sochaux are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Boulogne
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Ligue 3
Boulogne vs Sochaux
2:3
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Boulogne
1:1
Apr 24, 2010 Ligue 1
Sochaux vs Boulogne
0:3
Jan 13, 2010 Ligue 1
Boulogne vs Sochaux
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 95 / 100
Boulogne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sochaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sochaux stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sochaux's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Boulogne has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Boulogne
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
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Boulogne

(Away)
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)