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Sochaux vs Guingamp

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sochaux host Guingamp in the Ligue 2. Sochaux go into this one as the clear favorite. Guingamp have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Sochaux have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor Sochaux slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 14, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sochaux. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sochaux
20%
Draws
16%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sochaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Sochaux have won more games recently than Guingamp.
  • Win probability leans Guingamp's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 18%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Guingamp
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2025 Coupe de France
Guingamp vs Sochaux
3:2
May 13, 2023 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Guingamp
0:1
Aug 30, 2022 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Sochaux
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Guingamp
1:0
Sep 21, 2021 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Sochaux
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 28 / 100
Guingamp 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochaux's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guingamp let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Guingamp has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Guingamp
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1
Guingamp
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3
Guingamp
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Annecy 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Red Star 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Dijon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Nancy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Clermont 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Reims 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Pau 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)