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Sochaux vs Guingamp - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
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Match Events

14' Event
Fofana B.
Assist: Agouzoul S.
19'
Ortola A.
20' Event
Baghdadi S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Sochaux in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sochaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sochaux
35%
Draws
31%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sochaux have won more games recently than Guingamp.
  • Win probability leans Sochaux's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Guingamp
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Guingamp
1:0
Jan 14, 2025 Coupe de France
Guingamp vs Sochaux
3:2
May 13, 2023 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Guingamp
0:1
Aug 30, 2022 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Sochaux
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Guingamp
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guingamp Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 50 / 100
Guingamp 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sochaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochaux's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sochaux went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guingamp conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Guingamp
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)