Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs Villefranche

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Baghdadi S.
(Penalty)
31'
Masson J.
39'
Bayeye B. J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Sochaux and Villefranche finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sochaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sochaux
39%
Draws
31%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sochaux carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Villefranche
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Villefranche
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
0:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Villefranche
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 41 / 100
Villefranche 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villefranche has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Sochaux's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sochaux has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Villefranche
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
10 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Sochaux
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
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Villefranche

(Away)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)