Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs Villefranche

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Baghdadi S.
(Penalty)
31'
Masson J.
39'
Bayeye B. J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Sochaux and Villefranche finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sochaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sochaux
35%
Draws
6%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sochaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sochaux carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sochaux taking it.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Villefranche
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Villefranche
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
0:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Villefranche
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Sochaux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villefranche Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 95 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sochaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochaux has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sochaux's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Villefranche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Villefranche
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0
Guingamp
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)