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Sochi 2 vs Astrakhan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025
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Match Events

19' Event
Shilov D.
33'
Platonov P.
33'
Malomusov R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 game between Sochi 2 and Astrakhan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sochi 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sochi 2
30%
Draws
39%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sochi 2's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Astrakhan have produced (1.15).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sochi 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochi 2 Astrakhan
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Sochi 2
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sochi 2 vs Astrakhan
2:0
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Sochi 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shilov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Totskiy E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Astrakhan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochi 2 31 / 100
Astrakhan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochi 2 Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochi 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Astrakhan conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Sochi 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Astrakhan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochi 2

(Home)
01 Nov
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 0
Sochi 2
26 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 2
Rubin Yalta
04 Oct
Astrakhan
3 : 1
Sochi 2
Page 1 of 6

Astrakhan

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Stavropol 26 15 7 4 38:23 52
2 Kuban Kholding 26 14 9 3 48:23 51
3 FC Sevastopol 26 13 9 4 41:30 48
4 FK Pobeda 26 15 3 8 32:25 48
5 Rostov 2 26 13 5 8 37:22 44
6 Nart Cherkessk 26 12 6 8 37:22 42
7 Sochi 2 26 11 7 8 40:29 40
8 Maykop 26 10 7 9 37:27 37
9 Astrakhan 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
10 Rubin Yalta 26 9 6 11 26:32 33
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 7 8 11 26:42 29
12 Angust Nazran 26 5 8 13 21:31 23
13 Spartak Nalchik 26 3 5 18 18:48 14
14 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 26 0 2 24 15:71 2
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Relegation Group)