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Stadium Background

Sochi 2 vs Legion Makhachkala

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Eremin A.
40' Event
Gasanov S.
46'
Sub
Kurbanaliev A. In: Ibragimov M.
Out: Kurbanaliev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 game between Sochi 2 and Legion Makhachkala finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sochi 2
15%
Draws
51%
Legion Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sochi 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sochi 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sochi 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochi 2 Legion Makhachkala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Sochi 2
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sochi 2 vs Legion Makhachkala
2:2
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Sochi 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirakosyan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Legion Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Gasanov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibragimov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochi 2 58 / 100
Legion Makhachkala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochi 2 Legion Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sochi 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion Makhachkala let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Sochi 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Legion Makhachkala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sochi 2 VS Legion Makhachkala
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochi 2

(Home)
01 Nov
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 0
Sochi 2
26 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Sochi 2
1 : 2
Rubin Yalta
04 Oct
Astrakhan
3 : 1
Sochi 2
Page 1 of 6

Legion Makhachkala

(Away)
01 Nov
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 0
Astrakhan
25 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
4 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
05 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 3
Angust Nazran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Stavropol 26 15 7 4 38:23 52
2 Kuban Kholding 26 14 9 3 48:23 51
3 FC Sevastopol 26 13 9 4 41:30 48
4 FK Pobeda 26 15 3 8 32:25 48
5 Rostov 2 26 13 5 8 37:22 44
6 Nart Cherkessk 26 12 6 8 37:22 42
7 Sochi 2 26 11 7 8 40:29 40
8 Maykop 26 10 7 9 37:27 37
9 Astrakhan 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
10 Rubin Yalta 26 9 6 11 26:32 33
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 7 8 11 26:42 29
12 Angust Nazran 26 5 8 13 21:31 23
13 Spartak Nalchik 26 3 5 18 18:48 14
14 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 26 0 2 24 15:71 2
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 (Relegation Group)