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Social Atletico Television vs Provincial

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Social Atletico Television host Provincial in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. Little to choose between these two on current form. Provincial have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Social Atletico Television have conceded 0.25 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Social Atletico Television have won 1 to Provincial's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.38, favoring Social Atletico Television. API prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Social Atletico Television
22%
Draws
18%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Social Atletico Television

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Social Atletico Television come out ahead of Provincial on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Social Atletico Television's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 20%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Atletico Television Provincial
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Social Atletico Television
0:2
Sep 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Social Atletico Television
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Provincial
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social Atletico Television 58 / 100
Provincial 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Atletico Television Provincial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social Atletico Television found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Provincial conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Social Atletico Television remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Provincial registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Social Atletico Television VS Provincial
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj73317:312
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso62226:68
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar61054:113
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado732210:811
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Ezeiza72325:69
7Everton La Plata72235:68
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75