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Social Atletico Television vs Ezeiza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Social Atletico Television play Ezeiza in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Social Atletico Television averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. Ezeiza averaged 1 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Social Atletico Television won 2, Ezeiza won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 15, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Social Atletico Television and 0.38 for Ezeiza. This points to a Social Atletico Television double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Social Atletico Television
23%
Draws
31%
Ezeiza
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Social Atletico Television

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Social Atletico Television picked up more points recently compared to Ezeiza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 32%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Atletico Television Ezeiza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Ezeiza
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Social Atletico Television
0:1
Jul 26, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Ezeiza
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Social Atletico Television
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Social Atletico Television Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ezeiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Corbalan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social Atletico Television 48 / 100
Ezeiza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Atletico Television Ezeiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Social Atletico Television or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +35.2%
5.88
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Social Atletico Television attacking → ← attacking Ezeiza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social Atletico Television scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Ezeiza let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Social Atletico Television went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ezeiza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 43
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178