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Social vs Araxa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2015 game between Social and Araxa finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Social
30%
Draws
47%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Social haven't matched Araxa's recent run of results.
  • Araxa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Social Clean Sheet 17%
Araxa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Araxa
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Social
1:0
Apr 4, 2015 Mineiro 2
Social vs Araxa
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social 15 / 100
Araxa 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Araxa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Social scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Araxa let in goals in 57% of their last 23 matches.

Scoring Trends

Social VS Araxa
0.43 Goals Scored 0
1.86 Goals Conceded 0
71% Over 1.5 0%
14% Over 2.5 0%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Social

(Home)
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
05 Oct
Social
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
02 Oct
Contagem
1 : 1
Social
29 Sept
Social
0 : 0
Boston City
22 Sept
Social
0 : 1
America TO
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Araxa

(Away)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
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