Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Socorrense vs Santa Cruz SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz SE in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Socorrense
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Cruz SE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz SE haven't matched Socorrense's recent run of results.
  • Socorrense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Socorrense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorrense Santa Cruz SE
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 2.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorrense vs Santa Cruz SE
5:1
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Socorrense
0:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorrense vs Santa Cruz SE
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorrense 85 / 100
Santa Cruz SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorrense Santa Cruz SE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz SE has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Socorrense scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Socorrense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Socorrense VS Santa Cruz SE
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301