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Socorro vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Wed, Oct 9, 2024
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Socorro host CS Maruinense in the Sergipano 2 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Socorro at 1.44 goals for, 1.56 against; CS Maruinense at 0.8 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Socorro have won 0 to CS Maruinense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Socorro. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Socorro
30%
Draws
33%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Socorro's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what CS Maruinense have produced (0.8).
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Socorro taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Socorro Clean Sheet 20%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorro CS Maruinense
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.44 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorro vs CS Maruinense
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
CS Maruinense vs Socorro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorro 49 / 100
CS Maruinense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorro CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Maruinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Socorro found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Socorro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Socorro VS CS Maruinense
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Socorro

(Home)
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
Page 1 of 4

CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)