Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

Quintanar del Rey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Socuellamos play Quintanar del Rey in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Socuellamos averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Quintanar del Rey averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Socuellamos won 2, Quintanar del Rey won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Socuellamos and 1.75 for Quintanar del Rey. This points to a Quintanar del Rey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Socuellamos

22%

Draws

43%

Quintanar del Rey

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Quintanar del Rey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Socuellamos picked up more points recently compared to Quintanar del Rey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Socuellamos Clean Sheet 12%

Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Socuellamos	Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	11
Draws	9	5
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.07	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Socuellamos vs Quintanar del Rey

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Quintanar del Rey vs Socuellamos

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Quintanar del Rey vs Socuellamos

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Socuellamos vs Quintanar del Rey

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Socuellamos vs Quintanar del Rey

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Socuellamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Legaz M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Padilla J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorente J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socuellamos 34 / 100

Quintanar del Rey 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Socuellamos Quintanar del Rey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Quintanar del Rey or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Socuellamos attacking → ← attacking Quintanar del Rey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socuellamos scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Quintanar del Rey let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Socuellamos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Quintanar del Rey lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 38

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	34	20	10	4	52:23	70
2	San Sebastian Reyes	34	21	7	6	51:27	70
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42:30	60
4	Getafe B	34	16	9	9	55:35	57
5	CD Coria	34	16	9	9	50:38	57
6	RSD Alcala	34	14	9	11	42:39	51
7	Tenerife B	34	15	5	14	57:53	50
8	Orihuela	34	12	10	12	45:43	46
9	CF Intercity	34	11	10	13	42:45	43
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40:42	43
11	Las Palmas B	34	11	9	14	42:45	42
12	Ilicitano	34	10	11	13	51:56	41
13	Real Madrid C	34	11	7	16	42:45	40
14	Quintanar del Rey	34	11	6	17	36:43	39
15	CF Fuenlabrada	34	9	10	15	35:44	37
16	Colonia Moscardo	34	9	7	18	37:57	34
17	Socuellamos	34	7	10	17	34:55	31
18	Rayo Vallecano B	34	9	3	22	30:63	30