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Sodupe vs Aurrera de Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Martinez M.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Martinez M.
90' Event
Iriondo Valdivielso A.

AI Match Summary

Aurrera de Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera de Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sodupe
30%
Draws
51%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurrera de Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Sodupe.
  • Aurrera de Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 19%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:3
Apr 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:1
Dec 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Sodupe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sodupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iriondo Valdivielso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 10 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Aurrera de Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera de Vitoria let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sodupe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sodupe scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Aurrera de Vitoria
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Away)
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)