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Sodupe vs Balmaseda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sodupe in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sodupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sodupe
35%
Draws
38%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Balmaseda haven't matched Sodupe's recent run of results.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 68%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Balmaseda
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 14
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Balmaseda
3:0
Apr 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
1:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Balmaseda
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
2:1
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Sodupe
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 41 / 100
Balmaseda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sodupe found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Balmaseda has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sodupe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Balmaseda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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