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Sodupe vs Bermeo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sodupe in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sodupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sodupe
35%
Draws
18%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bermeo haven't matched Sodupe's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sodupe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 20%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Bermeo
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 13 9
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.14 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Bermeo
3:1
Nov 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Sodupe
2:2
Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Sodupe
0:1
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Bermeo
0:2
Mar 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Sodupe
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 85 / 100
Bermeo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermeo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Sodupe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sodupe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 7

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)