Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sofapaka and Kariobangi Sharks finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kariobangi Sharks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kariobangi Sharks carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 26%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sofapaka | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka
6:0
Dec 22, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka
1:2
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sofapaka 10 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sofapaka Kariobangi Sharks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kariobangi Sharks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Kariobangi Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Sofapaka found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Sofapaka stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sofapaka VS Kariobangi Sharks
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sofapaka
(Home) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
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27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2 KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1 Shabana
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
03 Apr
Sofapaka
0 : 0 Bandari
14 Mar
Sofapaka
0 : 1 Nairobi United
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Kariobangi Sharks
(Away) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
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27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
10 Apr
Tusker
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
04 Apr
Mahia
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
29 Mar
Leopards
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
