Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogdiana vs Nasaf Qarshi

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Sogdiana Sport Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rustamov O.
22' Event
Mukhitdinov S.
Assist: Abdirakhmatov Z.
31'
Shala A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Sogdiana and Nasaf Qarshi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nasaf Qarshi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sogdiana
28%
Draws
22%
Nasaf Qarshi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sogdiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sogdiana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 68%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogdiana Nasaf Qarshi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Sogdiana
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Sogdiana
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogdiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nasaf Qarshi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rustamov O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhitdinov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogdiana 59 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogdiana Nasaf Qarshi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Nasaf Qarshi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sogdiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogdiana VS Nasaf Qarshi
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210