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Sogndal 2 vs Elverum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dalehaug D.
43' Event
Nelsinho
65' Event
Nilsen N. T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2023 game between Sogndal 2 and Elverum finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sogndal 2
28%
Draws
50%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Elverum a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal 2 Elverum
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 24
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Division 3 - Group 2
Sogndal 2 vs Elverum
0:3
Jul 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 2
Elverum vs Sogndal 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalehaug D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nelsinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 2 22 / 100
Elverum 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal 2 Elverum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Elverum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sogndal 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal 2 VS Elverum
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%