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Sogndal 2 vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Huse O.
82' Event
Gjerde J. H.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sogndal 2
20%
Draws
50%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sogndal 2 have won more games recently than Stord.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Sogndal 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sogndal 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal 2 Stord
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.53 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Sogndal 2 vs Stord
0:2
Sep 4, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Sogndal 2
4:1
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Sogndal 2 vs Stord
0:0
Sep 5, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Sogndal 2
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Division 3 - Group 4
Sogndal 2 vs Stord
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Huse O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjerde J. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 2 47 / 100
Stord 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal 2 Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Sogndal 2's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sogndal 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal 2 VS Stord
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Djerv 1919
2 : 1
Sogndal 2
19 Sept
Sogndal 2
2 : 4
V. Haugesund
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Sogndal 2
7 : 0
Fyllingsdalen
31 Aug
Asane 2
4 : 3
Sogndal 2
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Stord

(Away)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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