Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sogndal vs Moss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Hintsa O.
Assist: Skaanes K.
20' Event
Laegreid J.
Assist: Aga O.
25' Event
Hintsa O.
Assist: Skaanes K.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Sogndal and Moss finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sogndal
30%
Draws
29%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sogndal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Moss haven't matched Sogndal's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Sogndal taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Moss
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
2:2
Jun 14, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Moss
2:4
Aug 23, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Moss
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
3:1
Aug 19, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sogndal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hintsa O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Laegreid J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aga O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 74 / 100
Moss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moss conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sogndal scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sogndal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Moss
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
16 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
09 Aug
Sogndal
0 : 2
Bryne
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Moss

(Away)
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1
Moss
10 Aug
Moss
3 : 3
Odds BK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 20 14 1 5 62:36 43
2 Kongsvinger 20 13 4 3 53:32 43
3 Stabaek 20 13 3 4 53:23 42
4 Stromsgodset 20 12 5 3 53:29 41
5 Hodd 20 10 3 7 35:36 33
6 Odds BK 20 9 5 6 40:32 32
7 Bryne 20 9 2 9 26:29 29
8 Egersund 20 8 3 9 33:37 27
9 Lyn 20 7 3 10 35:43 24
10 Ranheim 20 7 2 11 49:54 23
11 Sandnes Ulf 20 7 2 11 29:35 23
12 Sogndal 20 6 4 10 36:48 22
13 Strommen 20 6 3 11 30:47 21
14 Moss 20 5 4 11 32:45 19
15 Asane 20 5 3 12 30:44 17
16 Raufoss 20 5 1 14 23:49 16
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)