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Sogndal vs Raufoss

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sogndal and Raufoss finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sogndal
15%
Draws
51%
Raufoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raufoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Raufoss come out ahead of Sogndal on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Sogndal taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 17%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal Raufoss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Sogndal
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Raufoss
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Sogndal
1:3
May 31, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Raufoss
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Raufoss
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal 75 / 100
Raufoss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal Raufoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raufoss let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Sogndal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Raufoss has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal VS Raufoss
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal

(Home)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
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Raufoss

(Away)
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
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