Sport Picks
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
Norway
OBOS-ligaen Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal 
Match Events
7'
7'
Melkersen E.
Assist: Stengel H.
18'
18'
Skaanes K.
Assist: Vapne L.
23'
23'
Melkersen E.
Assist: Wikheim G.
AI Match Summary
Stromsgodset in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stromsgodset.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stromsgodset
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Sogndal haven't matched Stromsgodset's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stromsgodset have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sogndal | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Sogndal
3:0
Feb 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
0:3
Oct 29, 2017 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Sogndal
4:1
Apr 17, 2017 Eliteserien
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sogndal Compare
Top Goalscorer Skaanes K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arierhi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Stromsgodset Compare
Top Goalscorer Melkersen E.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sogndal 30 / 100
Stromsgodset 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sogndal Stromsgodset
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Sogndal scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Stromsgodset let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Sogndal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sogndal VS Stromsgodset
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sogndal
(Home) 20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1 Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0 Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3 Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1 Strommen
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3 Stromsgodset
16 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 0 Sandnes Ulf
09 Aug
Sogndal
0 : 2 Bryne
26 Jul
Sogndal
3 : 2 Ranheim
Page 1 of 4
Stromsgodset
(Away) 20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2 Stromsgodset
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1 Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4 Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1 Stromsgodset
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3 Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2 Stromsgodset
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4 Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1 Stromsgodset
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3 Stromsgodset
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6 Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 72:39 | 52 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 68:35 | 50 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 60:31 | 48 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 57:29 | 45 |
| 5 | Odds BK | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 47:36 | 36 |
| 6 | Bryne | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 32:31 | 35 |
| 7 | Hodd | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:45 | 34 |
| 8 | Egersund | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:44 | 29 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 56:58 | 28 |
| 10 | Lyn | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Moss | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 38:52 | 25 |
| 12 | Strommen | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 35:52 | 25 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 32:42 | 24 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:53 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:52 | 19 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 26:61 | 19 |
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
