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Stadium Background

Sogndal W vs Arna-Bjornar W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2023 Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
Wed, May 31, 2023
2 - 4
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hansen L.
47' Event
Grindhaug A.
80' Event
Ivanovic M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Arna-Bjornar W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sogndal W
6%
Draws
90%
Arna-Bjornar W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arna-Bjornar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arna-Bjornar W come out ahead of Sogndal W on wins alone.
  • Arna-Bjornar W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Arna-Bjornar W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arna-Bjornar W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sogndal W Clean Sheet 23%
Arna-Bjornar W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal W Arna-Bjornar W
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 3 17
Draws 0 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 3 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Sogndal W vs Arna-Bjornar W
0:2
May 31, 2023 Norway Cup Women
Sogndal W vs Arna-Bjornar W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sogndal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grindhaug A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krakhellen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Arna-Bjornar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal W 10 / 100
Arna-Bjornar W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal W Arna-Bjornar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arna-Bjornar W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sogndal W scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Difficult form: Arna-Bjornar W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal W VS Arna-Bjornar W
3 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal W

(Home)
12 May
Sogndal W
1 : 5
Brann W
25 Mar
Forde W
0 : 5
Sogndal W
05 Apr
Sogndal W
1 : 3
Fyllingsdalen W
08 Mar
Sogndal W
0 : 2
Arna-Bjornar W
03 Aug
Fyllingsdalen W
2 : 0
Sogndal W
Page 1 of 3

Arna-Bjornar W

(Away)
28 Jun
Start W
1 : 0
Arna-Bjornar W
21 Jun
Arna-Bjornar W
3 : 0
Bryne W
17 Jun
Arna-Bjornar W
2 : 3
Stabaek W
14 Jun
Klepp W
1 : 9
Arna-Bjornar W
31 May
Arna-Bjornar W
1 : 3
Tromso W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Porsanger W1
Bjornevatn IL W0
TBD-
Valerenga W-
Herd W0
Aalesund W3
Molde W5
Hodd W0
Bossmo & Ytteren W0
Grand Bodo W4
TBD-
Roa W-
Ull/Kisa W1
Honefoss W10
Ham-Kam W3
Frigg W0
Start W3
Bryne W0
TBD-
Avaldsnes W-
Viking W3
Staal Jorpeland W0
TBD-
Asane W-
Odds BK W1
Sandefjord W0
TBD-
Lyn W-
Storhamar Fotball W1
Grei W6
Tynset W1
Ovrevoll Hosle W3
Skarp W0
Medkila W2
Mjolner W1
Tromso W3
Stathelle W0
Arendal W2
TBD-
Stabaek W-
Sogndal W7
Volda W0
TBD-
Arna-Bjornar W-
Tiller W2
Kil/Hemne W0
TBD-
Rosenborg W-
Fredrikstad W2
Sarpsborg 08 W1
TBD-
LSK Kvinner W-
Raufoss W0
Kolbotn W1
KFUM Oslo W3
Kongsvinger W0
Loddefjord W0
Fyllingsdalen W3
TBD-
Brann W-
Haugesund W0
Klepp W2
Nanset W1
Grimstad W2
1/16-finals
Porsanger W0
Valerenga W6
Aalesund W2
Molde W1
Grand Bodo W0
Roa W10
Honefoss W4
Ham-Kam W1
Start W1
Avaldsnes W2
Viking W0
Asane W2
Odds BK W0
Lyn W1
Grei W0
Ovrevoll Hosle W2
Medkila W3
Tromso W0
Arendal W0
Stabaek W3
Sogndal W2
Arna-Bjornar W4
Tiller W0
Rosenborg W1
Fredrikstad W0
LSK Kvinner W3
Kolbotn W2
KFUM Oslo W1
Fyllingsdalen W0
Brann W6
Klepp W1
Grimstad W0
1/8-finals
Valerenga W5
Aalesund W2
Roa W2
Honefoss W1
Avaldsnes W0
Asane W3
Lyn W6
Ovrevoll Hosle W4
Medkila W1
Stabaek W4
Arna-Bjornar W0
Rosenborg W5
LSK Kvinner W4
Kolbotn W0
Brann W8
Klepp W0
Quarter-finals
Valerenga W2
Roa W0
Asane W0
Lyn W3
Stabaek W3
Rosenborg W4
LSK Kvinner W3
Brann W1
Semi-finals
Valerenga W3
Lyn W2
Rosenborg W2
LSK Kvinner W1
Final
Valerenga W0
Rosenborg W1