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Sogndal W vs Honefoss W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Norway Cup Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Honefoss W have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Sogndal W have conceded 2.92 and scored 2.25. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.81 - 2.19) back Sogndal W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sogndal W
20%
Draws
46%
Honefoss W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Honefoss W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Honefoss W lately — more wins on the board than Sogndal W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Honefoss W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sogndal W Clean Sheet 10%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sogndal W Honefoss W
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.92 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sogndal W 34 / 100
Honefoss W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sogndal W Honefoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honefoss W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Honefoss W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Sogndal W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Honefoss W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sogndal W VS Honefoss W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sogndal W

(Home)
02 Sept
Sogndal W
6 : 1
Forde W
12 May
Sogndal W
1 : 5
Brann W
25 Mar
Forde W
0 : 5
Sogndal W
05 Apr
Sogndal W
1 : 3
Fyllingsdalen W
08 Mar
Sogndal W
0 : 2
Arna-Bjornar W
Page 1 of 3

Honefoss W

(Away)
04 Oct
Honefoss W
3 : 0
Bodo/Glimt W
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Skeid W 1
Kolbotn W 4
TBD -
Lyn W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Grei W 6
TBD -
Roa W -
Alta W 0
Stromsgodset W 6
TBD -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 3
Start W 2
Ovrevoll Hosle W 0
Odds BK W 4
Raufoss W 1
Klepp W 3
Grimstad W 0
Viking W 5
Arendal W 1
Bryne W 6
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Lyngbo W 1
Asane W 4
Fana W 0
Arna-Bjornar W 5
Lillestrom W 1
Fyllingsdalen W 2
TBD -
Brann W -
Sogndal W 6
Forde W 1
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W 3
Tynset W 2
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W 3
Tiller W 0
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W 3
Ranheim W 1
TBD -
Molde W -
Steinkjer W 1
Rana FK W 2
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W 7
Melbo W 0
Grorud W 2
Frigg W 9
Porsanger W 0
Tromso W 5
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/16-finals
Ham-Kam W -
LSK Kvinner W -
Kolbotn W -
Lyn W -
Grei W 1
Roa W 0
Stromsgodset W -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 2
Odds BK W 4
Klepp W 2
Viking W 3
Bryne W 1
Haugesund W 5
Asane W -
Arna-Bjornar W -
Fyllingsdalen W -
Brann W -
Sogndal W -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W -
Molde W -
Rana FK W -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W -
Frigg W -
Tromso W -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -