Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soke 1970 vs Ayvalikgucu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Erkan H.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Soke 1970 and Ayvalikgucu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Soke 1970
20%
Draws
42%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Soke 1970 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ayvalikgucu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Soke 1970 Clean Sheet 16%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soke 1970 Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Soke 1970 vs Ayvalikgucu
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Soke 1970
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Soke 1970 vs Ayvalikgucu
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Ayvalikgucu vs Soke 1970
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soke 1970 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Erkan H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soke 1970 41 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soke 1970 Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Soke 1970 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Soke 1970 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Soke 1970 VS Ayvalikgucu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Soke 1970

(Home)
27 Sept
Soke 1970
1 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
20 Sept
Kepez Bld.
1 : 1
Soke 1970
15 Sept
Altay
2 : 4
Soke 1970
12 Sept
Soke 1970
2 : 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
05 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Soke 1970
Page 1 of 6

Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)