Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

1 - 2

Pelikan

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Brysiak H.

57'

Dudzinski A.

82'

Pawlikowski K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz and Pelikan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Draws

90%

Pelikan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz haven't matched Pelikan's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Pelikan taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Pelikan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	Pelikan
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	1	5
Draws	1	8
Losses	27	13
Goals Scored	0.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	3.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Pelikan

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sep 22, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Pelikan vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 5, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Pelikan

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Aug 8, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Pelikan vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jun 19, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Pelikan

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Brysiak H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dudzinski A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100

Pelikan 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Pelikan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelikan let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pelikan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz VS Pelikan

0.75 Goals Scored 0.63

3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	23	5	6	81:30	74
2	Legia II	34	21	7	6	75:39	70
3	LKS Lomza	34	18	10	6	68:38	64
4	Warta Sieradz	34	16	7	11	46:42	55
5	Suwalki	34	13	9	12	46:38	48
6	Jagiellonia II	34	13	8	13	54:49	47
7	Swit Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	47:58	47
8	GKS Belchatow	34	12	10	12	52:52	46
9	Bron Radom	34	12	10	12	40:48	46
10	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	7	14	57:64	46
11	MKS Mlawa	34	12	8	14	67:62	44
12	Plock II	34	11	10	13	54:58	43
13	GKS Wikielec	34	10	12	12	39:45	42
14	Stomil Olsztyn	34	11	9	14	44:56	42
15	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	52:59	41
16	Lidzbark Warmimski	34	9	14	11	46:60	41
17	Pelikan	34	9	6	19	34:58	33
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	2	6	26	26:72	12