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Sokol Markovo vs Karnobat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Sokol Markovo and Karnobat finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sokol Markovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sokol Markovo
15%
Draws
0%
Karnobat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokol Markovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sokol Markovo come out ahead of Karnobat on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sokol Markovo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sokol Markovo Clean Sheet 20%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Markovo Karnobat
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 22 29
Goals Scored 0.83 0.23
Goals Conceded 2.6 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Karnobat
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Sokol Markovo
5:1
Mar 31, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Karnobat
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Sokol Markovo
1:1
May 11, 2022 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Sokol Markovo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Markovo 42 / 100
Karnobat 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Markovo Karnobat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karnobat has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Karnobat's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sokol Markovo found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Karnobat
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Markovo

(Home)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0
Sokol Markovo
25 May
Sokol Markovo
0 : 6
Nesebar
18 May
OFC Haskovo
6 : 0
Sokol Markovo
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Sozopol
5 : 1
Sokol Markovo
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Karnobat

(Away)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)