Sport Picks
Sokol Markovo vs Nesebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Nesebar in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nesebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Sokol Markovo.
- Model gives Nesebar a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Nesebar have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sokol Markovo Clean Sheet 10%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sokol Markovo | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 2.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Nesebar
0:6
Nov 29, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Sokol Markovo
5:1
Apr 19, 2023 Third League - South-East
Nesebar vs Sokol Markovo
4:0
Oct 8, 2022 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Nesebar
1:2
May 7, 2022 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Nesebar
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sokol Markovo 10 / 100
Nesebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sokol Markovo Nesebar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nesebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Nesebar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Sokol Markovo found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Sokol Markovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Nesebar
0 Goals Scored 3.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Sokol Markovo
(Home) 01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0 Sokol Markovo
25 May
Sokol Markovo
0 : 6 Nesebar
18 May
OFC Haskovo
6 : 0 Sokol Markovo
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2 Beroe II
11 May
Sozopol
5 : 1 Sokol Markovo
Page 1 of 6
25 May
Sokol Markovo
0 : 6 Nesebar
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2 Beroe II
02 May
Sokol Markovo
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
20 Apr
Sokol Markovo
3 : 2 Asenovets
13 Apr
Sokol Markovo
0 : 3 Sekirovo Rakovski
Page 1 of 3
Nesebar
(Away) 04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0 Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3 Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
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04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0 Nesebar
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
16 Aug
Svoge
0 : 1 Nesebar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |
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