Sport Picks
Sokol Ostroda vs Blonianka Blonie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
18'
18'
Stefanski A.
81'
81'
El Ntoumbe A.
90'
90'
Blaut M.
AI Match Summary
Sokol Ostroda in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sokol Ostroda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokol Ostroda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sokol Ostroda lately — more wins on the board than Blonianka Blonie.
- Model gives Sokol Ostroda a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 13%
Blonianka Blonie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sokol Ostroda | Blonianka Blonie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Blonianka Blonie
2:1
Nov 11, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Sokol Ostroda
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Top Goalscorer Stefanski A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blaut M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Blonianka Blonie Compare
Top Goalscorer El Ntoumbe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sokol Ostroda 57 / 100
Blonianka Blonie 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sokol Ostroda Blonianka Blonie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sokol Ostroda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Sokol Ostroda's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Blonianka Blonie conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Blonianka Blonie's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sokol Ostroda VS Blonianka Blonie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sokol Ostroda
(Home) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
24 May
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13 May
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Legionowo
Page 1 of 3
Blonianka Blonie
(Away) 11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2 Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0 Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2 Blonianka Blonie
19 Jul
Blonianka Blonie
1 : 3 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2 Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0 Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2 Blonianka Blonie
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
