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Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kasprzyk D.
20' Event
Furman M.
57' Event
Jastrzebski E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Sokol Ostroda and Concordia Elblag finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sokol Ostroda
15%
Draws
34%
Concordia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokol Ostroda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sokol Ostroda's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Concordia Elblag have produced (1.31).
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Sokol Ostroda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Ostroda Concordia Elblag
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda
2:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
4:1
May 6, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Ostroda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Furman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Jastrzebski E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Ostroda 83 / 100
Concordia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Ostroda Concordia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sokol Ostroda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sokol Ostroda scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Concordia Elblag registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Ostroda VS Concordia Elblag
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Ostroda

(Home)
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2
Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1
Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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Concordia Elblag

(Away)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
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